Even as world equity has rebounded from its March’s low, many stocks are still cheap relative to its historical valuation. Book value multiple remains depressed as earnings multiple stayed at its historical average, as profitability declined significantly this year for majority of the market. Our three main top pick markets, Mexico, Turkey and Chile, remainContinue reading “World Country Valuation”
Tag Archives: country
Monthly March 2020: COVID-19 and The Bait and Switch in Global Equity
Downlaod PDF: Monthly_202003 Blame it on the COVID-19 Global bond investors have largely benefitted from the COVID-19 scare this year amid plunging global yields led by the U.S. Treasury. The budding signs of reflation beginning late last year have largely dissipated and investors have been running to safe haven assets, with gold price increasing almostContinue reading “Monthly March 2020: COVID-19 and The Bait and Switch in Global Equity”
South Africa: Country Overview
Download PDF: South Africa Research South Africa could easily pass as a country that combine various Emerging Markets sins: rampant corruption, mismanagement of government assets and low productivity. Unless a clear economic and political reform is done, it is likely that the country will slowly drift deeper into the abyss. From a political point ofContinue reading “South Africa: Country Overview”
The Tale of Two Countries: Chile and Russia
Download PDF: Chile and Russia Similarities Both Chilean and Russian economy are dependent on natural resources, with copper accounting for 48% of Chile’s exports and oil & gas accounting for 41% of Russian exports. Both countries have rank moderately across EM countries in terms of exports size relative to GDP and rank lowly in termsContinue reading “The Tale of Two Countries: Chile and Russia”
Indonesia: Country Overview
Download PDF: Indonesia Research Two decades after the Asian Financial Crisis that created a havoc in Indonesian economy and politics, Indonesian role in global trade has been stagnating… … and is still very much influenced by the fluctuation in commodity prices, although at a lesser extent. Relative to other Emerging Market countries, Indonesia’s integration toContinue reading “Indonesia: Country Overview”
Russia: Country Overview
Download PDF: Russia Research 2019 The Linkage between Oil Price and The Russian Economy There is little sign that Russian economy is diversifying from energy production and exports in the last 20 years. The direct link and trickle-down effect of higher/lower oil prices to the economy result in an economy that is highly correlated withContinue reading “Russia: Country Overview”
July 2019: Recession vs Reflation
Download PDF: Monthly_201907 “For months investors have been concerned about potential recession in the U.S., yet the stock market is at all time high. How could we reconcile these developments?”, asked one my friend who is working at an asset management company. The effects from reflationary effort from China has yet to be seen andContinue reading “July 2019: Recession vs Reflation”
Qualitative Screening on Countries Equity Valuation
In this post we highlight several countries equity market and their valuation that we found to be attractive to go long. The countries covered are Brazil, Canada, Germany, UK, Japan, Korea, Mexico, Russia, Turkey and the US. From a cycle point of view, Brazilian equity is in a tough spot. We expect the economy toContinue reading “Qualitative Screening on Countries Equity Valuation”
May 2019: The Dollar Story and Where Are We in the Cycle?
Download PDF: Monthly_2019_April The strength of the dollar has dismayed many investors, us included. The weakening growth in the U.S., as measured by final demand component of the GDP, has pointed downward and should lead to a weaker dollar at a time when China is reflating. We still believe that the current improvement in EuroContinue reading “May 2019: The Dollar Story and Where Are We in the Cycle?”
World Equity Valuation, Profitability, and Solvency Ranking
This year proved to be a volatile one, starting with the volatility jump in February, which led to emerging markets turmoil. Argentina and Turkey have suffered from increasing inflationary pressure that was exacerbated by the plunging currency, and other emerging market countries have suffered too, albeit at a lower intensity. Chinese A-share has been beatenContinue reading “World Equity Valuation, Profitability, and Solvency Ranking”
putamencapital.com 