And a Once in a Decade Opportunity to Overweight EM Equity In the last decade, Emerging Markets equity performance has been lagging its U.S. counterparts by a significant 50% margin. Undoubtedly, part of this is contributed by the gain of = hot technology stocks in the U.S. (FAANG). However, currently U.S. earnings growth is peakingContinueContinue reading “The Case for Underweighting U.S. Equity”
Tag Archives: valuation
Qualitative Screening on Countries Equity Valuation
In this post we highlight several countries equity market and their valuation that we found to be attractive to go long. The countries covered are Brazil, Canada, Germany, UK, Japan, Korea, Mexico, Russia, Turkey and the US. From a cycle point of view, Brazilian equity is in a tough spot. We expect the economy toContinueContinue reading “Qualitative Screening on Countries Equity Valuation”
May 2019: The Dollar Story and Where Are We in the Cycle?
Download PDF: Monthly_2019_April The strength of the dollar has dismayed many investors, us included. The weakening growth in the U.S., as measured by final demand component of the GDP, has pointed downward and should lead to a weaker dollar at a time when China is reflating. We still believe that the current improvement in EuroContinueContinue reading “May 2019: The Dollar Story and Where Are We in the Cycle?”
Telkom Indonesia: The Nightmare is Over
Download PDF: TLKM_March2019 Continued Transformation to Data-based Revenue Rising Cost Hurts the Bottom Line Maintain Buy Rating with Target Price of Rp 4450/share Telkom’s 2018 annual report is likely to be disappointing, based on the recent trend in the sector and third quarter statement. After years enjoying high return and strong growth, the sector isContinueContinue reading “Telkom Indonesia: The Nightmare is Over”
Lessons from Past Emerging Markets Cycles: Equity
PDF: Emerging Markets Review A Review of Emerging Markets Equity Performance Emerging markets equity is an inherently volatile asset class, with annual volatility of 17.7% compared to 14.2% for its developed markets counterpart. Investors who were willing to endure the higher risk has been rewarded tremendously in the long run. Between 1988 and today (SeptContinueContinue reading “Lessons from Past Emerging Markets Cycles: Equity”
Putamen Capital: January 2019 Update
Our strategy last quarter to allocate small portion for equity paid off handsomely. Since we first launched our asset allocation model in October 2018, our model portfolio returned by 1.8% while our benchmark, MSCI ACWI, lost 6.0%. This month, the model recommends increasing the defensiveness of the portfolio by allocating 100% to bonds, a safe-havenContinueContinue reading “Putamen Capital: January 2019 Update”
December 2018: Outlook, Update On Asset Allocation Model and Sector Valuation Overview
Thesis Review, US Treasury and Emerging Markets Prior to discussing our model update and 2019 sector outlook, we want to review our investment thesis from last month (Nov 24th), which has been panning out nicely. In the post we wrote: “In the anticipation of Fed backing-off from rising rates further in 2019, we do believeContinueContinue reading “December 2018: Outlook, Update On Asset Allocation Model and Sector Valuation Overview”
World Equity Valuation, Profitability, and Solvency Ranking
This year proved to be a volatile one, starting with the volatility jump in February, which led to emerging markets turmoil. Argentina and Turkey have suffered from increasing inflationary pressure that was exacerbated by the plunging currency, and other emerging market countries have suffered too, albeit at a lower intensity. Chinese A-share has been beatenContinueContinue reading “World Equity Valuation, Profitability, and Solvency Ranking”
Equity Research Report: Telekomunikasi Indonesia 3Q17
Read better with the PDF file: TKM Report Telkom Indonesia: Cheap Valuation Despite Strong Performance Recommendation: BUY Target Price : Rp 5.580 Closing Price : Rp 4440 Upside (Downside) Potential : +25.8% Company Profile PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk offers telecommunications and network services. The Company’s segments include Corporate, Home, Personal and Others. TheContinueContinue reading “Equity Research Report: Telekomunikasi Indonesia 3Q17”
Equity Research Report: Metrodata Electronics 3Q17
Download the Report in PDF: MTDL Report METRODATA ELECTRONICS Tbk: Valuation MTDL.IJ (Indonesian Equity) Recommendation: BUY Target Price : Rp 930 Closing Price : Rp 595 Upside (Downside) Potential : 57.0% Company Profile PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk is an Indonesia-based information technology company. It is engaged in the provision of IT productsContinueContinue reading “Equity Research Report: Metrodata Electronics 3Q17”
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