It’s summertime and volatility in the financial market has been relatively muted compared to what we saw earlier this year. Indeed, summertime has historically been a period of relative quiet in the market before volatility started to pick up in September and October (Chart 1). For macro strategists, this is the perfect time to reflectContinueContinue reading “Twelve Questions on Top of Mind”
Tag Archives: stock market
This Time It’s Different?
It is often said that the invention of steam engine in the 18th century was one of the world’s greatest inventions in the past one thousand years. The printing press, electric lightbulb, vaccination, and computer are also among the top of the list. These inventions are considered great not solely due to their direct usageContinueContinue reading “This Time It’s Different?”
August 2019: The Long View, Turkey and Revisiting This Year Investment Thesis
Read in PDF: Monthly 201908 As bond yields continue to stumble globally, we expect that more SWF and pension fund will divert allocation from fixed income to both public and private equity, which would be a boon for the deepening of stock market globally. Holding developed countries’ government bond is a sure way of losingContinueContinue reading “August 2019: The Long View, Turkey and Revisiting This Year Investment Thesis”
Equity Market Correction: Historical Performance of S&P500 Following Greater Than 3% Weekly Loss
Read the article in PDF (with tables): Risk Management Report on February Market Correction February 6th, 2018 Findings: 2 consecutive weekly losses greater than 3% is rare (1% of the time) and 3 consecutive losses is even more scarce (0.2% of the time) The 3 consecutive losses greater than 3% were always happening during recessionary periodContinueContinue reading “Equity Market Correction: Historical Performance of S&P500 Following Greater Than 3% Weekly Loss”
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