The combination of declining inflation and easing labor market condition has so far been interpreted by the market as signs that the U.S. economy will be able to stage a soft landing – a softening in growth without significant pick up in unemployment – before a new cycle begins. The equity market is disregarding theContinueContinue reading “Fundamentals vs Market Pricing”
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Bank Failure Is Only One of Many Symptoms of Tight Monetary Conditions
When I was working as a junior doctor many years ago, one of my professors always stresses the importance of determining the cause (etiology) of a disease rather than simply alleviating the patient’s symptoms. The collapse of SVB in March and the associated ripples to other regional banks are one of the many symptoms ofContinueContinue reading “Bank Failure Is Only One of Many Symptoms of Tight Monetary Conditions”